To begin my Oscar predictions before the great Oscar Sunday, I begin with the best supporting acting category for both male and female. In the past few years these have proved to be some of the best races and produced the best winners. I immediately call to mind Heath Ledger winning posthumously for The Dark Knight and even Christian Bale for The Fighter with a fantastic speech. This year is not short of great races or sure to be great speeches.
To start I will examine the female supporting category. This, not unlike most categories at the Oscars is a two horse race. Despite excellent performances in every film this comes down to the veteran Sally Field in Lincoln and the current big star Anne Hathaway in Les Miserables. Honorable mention undoubtedly goes to Amy Adams in The Master, Paul Thomas Anderson’s latest masterpiece playing the wife of Philip Seymour Hoffman who plays the leader of a underground worship group. As much as Sally Field has made quite a stir and statement with her role as Mary Todd Lincoln and showed why she is Hollywood loyalty in her career, this category will most likely go to Anne Hathaway in Les Mis. Despite her limited screen time Hathaway owns every second she is on screen. Look for Hathaway to take this award.
The supporting actor category looks to be much much more difficult. there is not one nominee who is only deserving of the nomination and not the win. This has proved to be Tommy Lee Jones and Christoph Waltz race, but when it comes to the Academy these actors are all beloved making this a much tighter race than one might think. It has been 21 years since Robert De Niro’s last nomination in Cape Fear and it’s been 32 years since his last win for Raging Bull despite such a beloved actor which gives his contention such strength. Christoph Waltz has proven to channel Tarantino Dialogue and character almost better than anyone and already has taken home Oscar once for a Tarantino film. Tommy Lee Jones Jones proves to put out just a stellar outstanding performance in Lincoln that it can’t be ignored. Philip Seymour Hoffman and Alan Arkin are without question worthy of a win here but just possibly may be the odd men out.
Despite his win just a few years ago I feel this one will land in Chrsitoph Waltz’s lap. No one understands and delivers Tarantino better than him which the Academy seems to love.
One thing is for sure and that is these are the two major categories to watch come Sunday night because they are the hardest to choose. One can only hope that the best in each race comes away with the coveted trophy. Enjoy Oscar Sunday like you are walking down the red carpet yourself.